Scoping future outbreaks: a scoping review on the outbreak prediction of the WHO Blueprint list of priority diseases

Background The WHO’s Research and Development Blueprint priority list designates emerging diseases with the potential to generate public health emergencies for which insufficient preventive solutions exist. aims reduce time availability of resources that can avert crises. current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic illustrates an effective method mitigating such crises is pre-emptive prediction outbreaks. This scoping review thus aimed map identify evidence available predict future outbreaks diseases. Methods We conducted a PubMed, Embase Web Science related predicting Ebola Marburg virus, Zika Lassa fever, Nipah Henipaviral disease, Rift Valley Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic Severe acute respiratory syndrome, Middle East syndrome Disease X. Prediction methods, outbreak features predicted implementation predictions were evaluated. narrative quantitative synthesis highlight methods could be further investigated prevention COVID-19 Results Out 3959 articles identified, we included 58 based on inclusion criteria. 5 major emerged; most frequent being spatio-temporal risk maps periods locations through vector climate data. Stochastic models predominant. fever was disease. Diseases complex sociocultural factors as often multifactorial risk-based estimations. 10% implemented by authorities. No article X Conclusions Spatiotemporal strong climatic vectorial components, in River prediction, may currently best resources. A wide literature gap exists zoonoses ecological dynamics Ebola, especially